Farzad

Farzad

Share this post

Farzad
Farzad
SpaceX's Path to $12.8 Trillion

SpaceX's Path to $12.8 Trillion

Why the Space Economy's Future is Bigger Than You Think

Farzad's avatar
Farzad
Jun 12, 2025
∙ Paid

Share this post

Farzad
Farzad
SpaceX's Path to $12.8 Trillion
Share

Key Takeaways for Free Subscribers:

• New valuation model projects SpaceX could reach $2.5 trillion by 2030 and $12.8 trillion by 2040

• Starlink satellite constellation will drive massive cash flows through 2035, then pivot entirely to Mars development

• First Mars missions will deploy Optimus robots, not humans - potentially 1 million robots by 2040

• Monte Carlo analysis shows wide range of outcomes, from $1.5 trillion to $30 trillion by 2040

• Wright's Law continues to drive down satellite costs - bandwidth per kg improving exponentially

• SpaceX requesting 79+ Starship launches annually signals massive scaling ahead

• Mars development valued using book value of infrastructure built, not immediate profit returns


The Full Analysis: Inside the Most Ambitious Valuation Model Ever Created

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Farzad to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Substack Inc
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share